Predictions Are Often Wrong
Much of my life has been spent proving that we cannot predict the future. But we can prepare for it.
Nassim Taleb
Lebanese-American philosopher and economist famous for the Black Swan theory about unpredictable high-impact events.
All moments: Nassim Taleb
- Preparedness Over Caution — Nassim Taleb
You cannot avoid risks. You can only choose which risks you want to take and be prepared for them.
- Order Emerges from Chaos — Nassim Taleb
A system that is too stable cannot evolve. You need some level of stress and uncertainty for a system to adapt and grow.
- Ignorance Was My Advantage — Nassim Taleb
People construct stories about the past that explain it. They think they know what will happen, but the truth is it's unknowable.
- Antifragility Versus Fragility — Nassim Taleb
Should you be fragile, robust, or antifragile in life? Antifragility means that disorder, stress, and volatility strengthen you rather than break you.
- We Are Blind to the Future — Nassim Taleb
History doesn't crawl, it jumps. What we call history is just the list of events that happened, not the ones that could have happened.
- The Black Swan Flies Low — Nassim Taleb
A black swan is an event that lies beyond the realm of normal expectations. Nobody anticipated it. But when it happens, people always say they knew it all along.
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